SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 5.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 4-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.55%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Brentford |
84.53% ( -0.13) | 10.07% ( 0.07) | 5.4% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.13) | 24.04% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.34% ( -0.17) | 43.66% ( 0.17) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.03% ( -0.04) | 3.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.23% ( -0.13) | 16.77% ( 0.13) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.09% ( 0.08) | 46.9% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.58% ( 0.06) | 82.42% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Brentford |
| 3-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)6-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.43% Total : 84.53% | 1-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 10.07% | 1-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 5.4% |
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