Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | West Ham United |
30.35% ( -0.23) | 24.25% ( 0.07) | 45.41% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.07% ( -0.43) | 43.93% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.68% ( -0.42) | 66.32% ( 0.42) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( -0.37) | 27.41% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.11% ( -0.48) | 62.89% ( 0.48) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.5% ( -0.1) | 19.5% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.62% ( -0.17) | 51.38% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | West Ham United |
2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.35% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.12% Total : 45.41% |
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