SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | West Ham United |
60.39% ( -0.13) | 20.86% ( 0.03) | 18.74% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.63% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.86% ( 0.01) | 40.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.49% ( 0.01) | 62.5% ( -0.02) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( -0.03) | 12.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.69% ( -0.07) | 39.3% ( 0.06) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.01% ( 0.11) | 34.98% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.27% ( 0.11) | 71.72% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 60.39% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.86% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.74% |
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