Burgess Hill Town
2 - 1
AFC Croydon Athletic

Cooper (90+13')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Burgess Hill Town and AFC Croydon Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgess Hill Town

Last Game: Burgess Hill Town 2-1 Eastbourne Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

AFC Croydon Athletic

Last Game: AFC Croydon Athletic 4-0 VCD Athletic
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgess Hill Town win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for AFC Croydon Athletic had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgess Hill Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.56%) and 3-1 (5.07%). The likeliest AFC Croydon Athletic win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burgess Hill Town in this match.

Result
Burgess Hill Town	Draw	AFC Croydon Athletic
41.61%	22.3%	36.1% ( -0)

Both teams to score 67.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.59%

32.42% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.95% (

54.05% (

-0)

Burgess Hill Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.61% (

-0)

16.4% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.96% (

46.04% (

-0)

AFC Croydon Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25% (

-0)

18.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.86% (

-0)

50.14% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Burgess Hill Town 41.61%

AFC Croydon Athletic 36.1%

Draw 22.3%

Burgess Hill Town	Draw	AFC Croydon Athletic
2-1 @ 8.41% 1-0 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.07% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.62% Total : 41.61%	1-1 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 7.04% 0-0 @ 3.07% 3-3 @ 2.37% Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.3%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.35% 0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.01% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.1%