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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
HL

Burnley
1 - 2
Huddersfield

Rodriguez (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Koroma (74'), Pearson (87')

We said: Burnley 1-1 Huddersfield Town (Huddersfield Town to win on penalties)

Although Burnley will head into Saturday's tie as the favourites, the Premier League outfit are enduring a difficult run of form in contrast to their Championship counterparts. The Terriers will likely name a strong side at Turf Moor, while the Clarets may decide to rest a few star names and with that in mind, a score draw could be on the cards in 90 minutes, with the visitors edging it on penalties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Huddersfield Town win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawHuddersfield Town
49.16%25.21%25.64%
Both teams to score 51.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96%51.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1%72.9%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22%20.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57%53.43%
Huddersfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39%34.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67%71.33%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 49.16%
    Huddersfield Town 25.64%
    Draw 25.2%
BurnleyDrawHuddersfield Town
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 49.16%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 25.64%

Read more!
Read more!


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