With Wolves continuing to struggle for goals, it is difficult to back Lage's side with any level of certainty. With that in mind, we are going to predict a low-scoring draw, Burnley benefitting from their fresher legs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Burnley
49.74%	27.66%	22.6%

Both teams to score 42.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.91%

62.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.2%

81.8%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77%

25.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03%

59.97%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.38%

43.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.19%

79.81%

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 49.73%

Burnley 22.6%

Draw 27.65%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 15.15% 2-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 8.66% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 3.98% 4-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.06% Total : 49.73%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 11% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 9.13% 1-2 @ 5.22% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 1.44% 0-3 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.6%