Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 33.32% and a draw has a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline was Newcastle United 1-1 Burnley with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines were 1-0 (13.08%), 0-1 (12.22%), 0-0 (11.88%). The actual score line of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1%.