Man Utd
3 - 1
Burnley

McTominay (8'), Mee (27' og.), Ronaldo (35')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Lennon (38')

Build‑up

The Match

We said: Manchester United 2-0 Burnley

Man United's poor performance against Newcastle could work against Burnley here, as the Red Devils will be desperate to return to winning ways. The visitors have had a long time to prepare for this match, but that could end up being a disadvantage, and we are expecting Rangnick's side to pick up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Burnley
71.48%	17.52%	11%

Both teams to score 48.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.6%

41.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.2%

63.8%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.72%

10.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.33%

33.66%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.52%

46.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.91%

82.08%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 71.46%

Burnley 11%

Draw 17.52%

Manchester United	Draw	Burnley
2-0 @ 12.36% 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 7.19% 4-0 @ 5.33% 4-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.75% 5-0 @ 2.43% 5-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.57% 6-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.26% Total : 71.46%	1-1 @ 8.33% 0-0 @ 4.78% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.79% Total : 17.52%	0-1 @ 3.66% 1-2 @ 3.19% 0-2 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.82% Total : 11%