FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round

Aug 4, 2024 at 2pm UK

Glassworld Stadium (Impington, Cambridgeshire)

Cambridge City
5 - 1
Lakenheath

Data Analysis

Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Cambridge City and Lakenheath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge City

Last Game: Cambridge City 4-0 Coventry
Sunday, December 4 at 2pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge City win with a probability of 53%. A win for Lakenheath had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.52%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Lakenheath win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge City would win this match.

Result
Cambridge City	Draw	Lakenheath
53% ( -0.06)	20.29% ( 0.02)	26.71% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 70.28% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.71% (

-0.04)

27.28% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.15% (

-0.05)

47.85% (

0.05)

Cambridge City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.19% (

-0.03)

10.81% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.14% (

-0.07)

34.86% (

0.07)

Lakenheath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.79% (

0.01)

21.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.91% (

0.01)

54.09% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cambridge City 53%

Lakenheath 26.71%

Draw 20.29%

Cambridge City	Draw	Lakenheath
2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.67% 1-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 53%	1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.29%	1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.71%