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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
The Valley
NL

Charlton
0 - 1
Norwich


Inniss (21'), Purrington (52'), Dobson (69'), Gilbey (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rashica (79')
Hanley (75'), Pukki (90+3'), Sorensen (90+5')

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 Norwich City

Norwich will view this match as a potential springboard, and they will fancy their chances of winning at the Valley despite their issues in the top flight this season. We are expecting it to be a close match on Sunday afternoon but are backing the visitors to triumph within 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawNorwich City
52.14%23.2%24.66%
Both teams to score 57.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.68%43.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.29%65.71%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36%16.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51%46.49%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74%31.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39%67.61%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 52.14%
    Norwich City 24.66%
    Draw 23.19%
Charlton AthleticDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 5%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.52%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 52.14%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 5.66%
0-0 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 6.31%
0-1 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 24.66%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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