Home advantage on a cold Friday night gives Gateshead a real chance of pulling off a famous victory over the former Premier League club. Nevertheless, that does not tempt us into predicting a win for the non-league side, with Charlton's superior quality in all areas of the pitch likely to help them to a routine victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 15.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Gateshead win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Charlton Athletic in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Charlton Athletic.
