Even with a fully-fit squad, Norwich would always have a hard time breaking down this Villa defence, no matter how much Smith is determined to get one over his old club. The visitors have plenty of options for fresh legs in the final third and are truly benefitting from Gerrard's winning mentality, so we can only envisage a return to winning ways for the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Aston Villa
36.43%	27.26%	36.3%

Both teams to score 50.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.58%

55.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.39%

76.61%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81%

29.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86%

65.13%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73%

29.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77%

65.23%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 36.43%

Aston Villa 36.3%

Draw 27.26%

Norwich City	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.43%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.3%