Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Milton Keynes Irish win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Milton Keynes Irish win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Milton Keynes Irish would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.05) 
