SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
27.47% ( 0.22) | 24.21% ( 0.03) | 48.31% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.49% ( 0.01) | 45.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.16% ( 0.01) | 67.83% ( -0.02) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.17) | 30.22% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% ( 0.2) | 66.39% ( -0.21) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( -0.1) | 18.92% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( -0.16) | 50.43% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.47% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.31% |
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