SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Dartford |
21.96% ( 0.86) | 23.04% ( 0.11) | 55% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 54.51% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( 0.57) | 45.44% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( 0.54) | 67.77% ( -0.54) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( 1.15) | 34.8% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.47% ( 1.19) | 71.53% ( -1.19) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( -0.14) | 16.4% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.95% ( -0.25) | 46.04% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Dartford |
| 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.96% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.04% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.3% Total : 54.99% |
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