Not a single ounce of pressure should be weighing on the shoulders of Cray Valley, who have already gone toe-to-toe with Charlton on rival territory and should see no reason why lightning cannot strike twice in Eltham.
The Addicks would not require a replay had they shown more of a clinical edge on November 5, though, and while the FA Cup always springs a shock or two, we can only picture Appleton's men giving their eighth-tier hosts a rude awakening and booking their spot in the second round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 86.53%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 4.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.74%), while for a Cray Valley Paper Mills win it was 2-1 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
-0.05) 
0.08) 
