SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
57.66% ( -0.12) | 21.23% ( 0.05) | 21.11% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.46% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.69% ( -0.18) | 38.31% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.41% ( -0.19) | 60.59% ( 0.19) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.89% ( -0.09) | 13.11% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.25% ( -0.19) | 39.75% ( 0.19) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( -0.04) | 31.57% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% ( -0.05) | 67.97% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.71% Total : 57.66% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 21.11% |
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