Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
