SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
37.46% ( 0.39) | 25.59% ( -0.31) | 36.95% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% ( 1.39) | 48.34% ( -1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( 1.26) | 70.48% ( -1.25) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 0.86) | 25.24% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.01% ( 1.17) | 59.99% ( -1.17) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( 0.6) | 25.53% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( 0.81) | 60.38% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.95% |
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