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League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 24, 2020 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
CU

Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Carlisle

Pollock (24')
Taylor (37'), Waterfall (76'), Starbuck (82'), Pollock (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McKeown (46' og.)
Anderton (18')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCarlisle United
33.57%26.88%39.55%
Both teams to score 50.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87%54.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45%75.55%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64%30.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45%66.55%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23%26.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.94%62.05%
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 33.57%
    Carlisle United 39.55%
    Draw 26.87%
Grimsby TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 7.61%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 33.57%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 3.7%
0-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.22%
0-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.55%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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