Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Margate had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Margate win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham would win this match.
