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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)

Horsham
2 - 0
Margate

Ogunwamide (10'), Hester-Cook (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between Horsham and Margate.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Margate 1-1 Horsham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Margate 1-1 Horsham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Horsham win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Margate had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Horsham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Margate win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Horsham would win this match.

Result
HorshamDrawMargate
64.25%19.49%16.26%
Both teams to score 56.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.9%38.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.63%60.36%
Horsham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.79%11.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.26%35.74%
Margate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44%36.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65%73.34%
Score Analysis
    Horsham 64.25%
    Margate 16.26%
    Draw 19.49%
HorshamDrawMargate
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 9.81%
1-0 @ 8.97%
3-1 @ 7.2%
3-0 @ 7.16%
4-1 @ 3.94%
4-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.73%
5-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 64.25%
1-1 @ 9.02%
2-2 @ 4.97%
0-0 @ 4.1%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.49%
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-1 @ 4.12%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.67%
1-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 16.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Margate 1-1 Horsham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Horsham 1-0 Dorking
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Horsham 4-0 Virginia Water
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Horsham 0-0 Woking
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Sutton 3-0 Horsham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Horsham 0-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Margate 1-1 Horsham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bognor Regis 0-4 Margate
Saturday, September 14 at 1pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hayes & Yeading 1-3 Margate
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Margate 0-0 Hayes & Yeading
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Margate 4-0 Loxwood
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup


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