While Horsham's display at Oakwell showed that they can certainly take the game to higher opposition and cause problems, we do not anticipate them pulling off another similar result this weekend, and while they may cause problems for Gray's side, Sutton should have what it takes to come out on top on home turf and book their place in the third round.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Horsham had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Horsham win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
-2.83) 
0.48) 
