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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
SU

Millwall
0 - 2
Sheff Utd


McNamara (18')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jebbison (23'), Bogle (36')
Bogle (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Rotherham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-1 Sheffield United

We expect both sides to rotate heavily on Saturday, and although the visitors have been stronger in the Championship this season, injuries have severely hit their squad depth, and we see Millwall's changed XI prevailing as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawSheffield United
41.84% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 28.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 30.03% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.15% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)59.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (-0.023 -0.02)80.02% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)28.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)63.84% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.77% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46% (-0.012 -0.01)72.54% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 41.83%
    Sheffield United 30.02%
    Draw 28.13%
MillwallDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 12.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 30.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 3-0 Rotherham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Bristol City
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-2 Millwall
Monday, December 26 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 3-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Brondby
Saturday, November 26 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-2 Sheff Utd
Thursday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Coventry
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Sheff Utd
Monday, December 19 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship


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