SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Millwall |
46.33% ( -0.15) | 26.52% ( -0.29) | 27.14% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.83% ( 1.31) | 55.16% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% ( 1.07) | 76.41% ( -1.07) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0.5) | 23.78% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.07% ( 0.72) | 57.93% ( -0.72) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( 1.07) | 35.59% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.64% ( 1.09) | 72.36% ( -1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.06)Other @ 2% Total : 27.14% |
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