SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheffield United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Sheffield United |
24.34% ( 0.29) | 26.77% ( 0.12) | 48.9% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.14% ( -0.19) | 57.87% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.42% ( -0.15) | 78.58% ( 0.16) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.48% ( 0.16) | 39.52% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.79% ( 0.15) | 76.21% ( -0.15) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( -0.27) | 23.75% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.11% ( -0.38) | 57.9% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.42% Total : 24.34% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.9% |
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