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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
B

Newcastle
3 - 1
Bromley

Miley (16'), Gordon (49' pen.), Osula (61')
FT(HT: 1-1)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 7 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newcastle United 3-0 Bromley

Battering teams in the Premier League, Newcastle should have no issues in putting fourth-tier Bromley to the sword at St James' Park this weekend. The Magpies have an array of talent in reserve should they rotate their XI, meaning that there is little hope for the Ravens of a historic upset in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Bromley had a probability of 12.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Bromley win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBromley
71.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 16.27% (-0.111 -0.11) 12.25% (0.154 0.15)
Both teams to score 57.37% (1.009 1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.38% (1.007 1.01)31.62% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.88% (1.173 1.17)53.12% (-1.172 -1.17)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.2% (0.239 0.24)7.79% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.31% (0.60299999999999 0.6)27.68% (-0.602 -0.6)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.935 0.94)37.78% (-0.933 -0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (0.899 0.9)74.55% (-0.898 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 71.48%
    Bromley 12.25%
    Draw 16.27%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBromley
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.16% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.94% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.51% (-0.327 -0.33)
4-0 @ 5.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.122 0.12)
5-0 @ 2.66% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.59% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.105 0.11)
5-2 @ 1.26% (0.068 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.1% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 71.48%
1-1 @ 7.31% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.27%
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.87% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 12.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 7 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Newcastle
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-2 Newcastle
Monday, December 30 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ipswich 0-4 Newcastle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Bromley
Thursday, January 2 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Swindon
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 5-2 Newport
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two


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