SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.06%) and 0-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Liverpool |
25.6% ( 0) | 21.64% ( 0) | 52.75% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.92% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.96% ( -0.02) | 35.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.97% ( -0.02) | 57.03% ( 0.02) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( -0.01) | 26.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( -0.02) | 61.15% ( 0.01) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( -0.01) | 13.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.45% ( -0.02) | 40.54% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 0.96% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.6% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0)0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.95% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.75% |
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