SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 37.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
38.24% ( 0.04) | 23.78% ( -0.01) | 37.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.35% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.26% ( 0.04) | 39.74% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.91% ( 0.04) | 62.09% ( -0.04) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% ( 0.04) | 20.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% ( 0.05) | 53.73% ( -0.05) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( 0.01) | 21.1% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( 0.01) | 53.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 38.24% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.98% |
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