Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.