SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 66.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Bury had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Bury win it was 1-2 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Radcliffe | Draw | Bury |
66.2% ( 0.02) | 17.5% ( 0) | 16.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.26% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.05) | 28.12% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.11% ( -0.07) | 48.89% ( 0.07) |
| Radcliffe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92% ( -0.01) | 8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.8% ( -0.03) | 28.2% ( 0.03) |
| Bury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.85% ( -0.06) | 30.15% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.7% ( -0.08) | 66.3% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Radcliffe | Draw | Bury |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.48% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 4.1% Total : 66.2% | 1-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.34% Total : 16.3% |
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