SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radcliffe win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radcliffe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Radcliffe | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
47.77% ( 1.17) | 23.54% ( -0.29) | 28.69% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 59.81% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.36% ( 0.81) | 41.64% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.96% ( 0.81) | 64.04% ( -0.8) |
| Radcliffe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% ( 0.78) | 17.64% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.75% ( 1.33) | 48.25% ( -1.33) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( -0.19) | 27.37% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( -0.25) | 62.84% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Radcliffe | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.82% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.69% |
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