SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Radcliffe |
50.71% ( -0.37) | 24.05% ( 0.15) | 25.24% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( -0.49) | 46.53% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( -0.47) | 68.81% ( 0.46) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( -0.33) | 18.38% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.49% ( -0.56) | 49.51% ( 0.56) |
| Radcliffe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( -0.09) | 32.52% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.95% ( -0.1) | 69.05% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Radcliffe |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.39% Total : 50.71% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 25.24% |
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