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FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
MT

Sheff Weds
2 - 1
Mansfield

Smith (78', 83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lapslie (34')
Gordon (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 3-0 Mansfield Town

While there is still plenty of room for improvement given the quality in their side, Sheffield Wednesday appear to have found a winning formula this season, and they should have too much for their fourth-tier visitors on Saturday. Several players will be keen to impress Moore, and the Owls should comfortably get past Clough's men with home advantage and a superior squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Mansfield Town win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMansfield Town
55.23% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 23.41% (-0.02 -0.02) 21.36% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26% (0.024000000000001 0.02)47.74% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (0.022000000000002 0.02)69.93% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)17.14% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (0.050000000000004 0.05)47.37% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)36.67% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (-0.023 -0.02)73.46% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 55.22%
    Mansfield Town 21.36%
    Draw 23.41%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.75% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Sheff Weds (6-5 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Harrogate 3-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two


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