Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0.08) 
