Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
-0.64) 
0.76) 
