Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Newcastle United |
45.57% (![]() | 23.07% (![]() | 31.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.14% (![]() | 37.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.89% (![]() | 60.11% (![]() |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.97% (![]() | 17.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.82% (![]() | 47.18% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.22% (![]() | 23.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.06% (![]() | 57.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 9.11% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 4.21% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 10.29% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.39% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.36% |
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