SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Newcastle United |
45.57% ( 0.44) | 23.07% ( 0.03) | 31.36% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 63.24% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.14% ( -0.36) | 37.86% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.89% ( -0.39) | 60.11% ( 0.39) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( 0.03) | 17.03% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.82% ( 0.05) | 47.18% ( -0.05) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.45) | 23.78% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% ( -0.65) | 57.94% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.21% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.36% |
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