SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 3-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
66.99% ( 0.8) | 17.83% ( -0.07) | 15.18% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 60% ( -1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.8% ( -1.26) | 32.2% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.2% ( -1.49) | 53.79% ( 1.49) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.09% ( -0.16) | 8.9% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.56% ( -0.38) | 30.44% ( 0.39) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( -1.7) | 34.13% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.18% ( -1.87) | 70.82% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.47)3-1 @ 7.7% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.22% Total : 66.99% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.83% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.55% Total : 15.18% |
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