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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
M

Swansea
2 - 0
Morecambe

Patino (47'), Yates (87')
Wood (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Major (85'), Edwards (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Harrogate
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swansea City 2-0 Morecambe

With confidence low in the Morecambe ranks, Swansea will expect to take advantage. However, with changes likely in the home side's starting lineup, they may only score a goal in each half to secure the progress to the last 32. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMorecambe
58.68% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 21.51% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 19.8% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.29% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.5% (-0.253 -0.25)41.49% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11% (-0.256 -0.26)63.89% (0.258 0.26)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (-0.124 -0.12)13.84% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79% (-0.247 -0.25)41.21% (0.248 0.25)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)34.67% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.6% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)71.39% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 58.68%
    Morecambe 19.8%
    Draw 21.51%
Swansea CityDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.19% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 58.68%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 19.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Swansea
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 5-0 Swansea
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Preston
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Swansea
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Harrogate
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 5-0 Morecambe
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-5 Morecambe
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League Two


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