With just one point separating Morecambe and Harrogate Town in the table, we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Mazuma Mobile Stadium with both sides going all out in search of a morale-boosting result. Both teams are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will settle for a point apiece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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