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LC
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
M

Lincoln
1 - 2
Morecambe

Sorensen (14')
Eyoma (20'), Sorensen (57'), Hamilton (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mellon (43'), Bloxham (53')
King (21'), Tutonda (22'), Senior (62'), McKiernan (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Morecambe

A total of 10 goals were scored across three meetings between Lincoln and Morecambe last season, with both teams netting on each occasion, and there could be plenty of goalmouth action once again this weekend. Despite their midweek defeat, the Shrimps remain in high spirts heading to Sincil Bank and will fancy their chances of coming out on top against the Imps, but we believe that the hosts will do enough to avoid a cup upset and progress to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
42.92% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 25.82% (0.131 0.13) 31.26% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-0.472 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-0.598 -0.6)50.43% (0.589 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.53 -0.53)72.36% (0.523 0.52)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.286 -0.29)23.36% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-0.413 -0.41)57.33% (0.405 0.41)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.35900000000001 -0.36)30.05% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (-0.431 -0.43)66.17% (0.423 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 42.91%
    Morecambe 31.26%
    Draw 25.82%
Lincoln CityDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.2% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 4-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Tranmere
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 3-1 Barrow
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Colchester 1-3 Morecambe
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two


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