Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Morecambe |
42.92% ( -0.05) | 25.82% ( 0.13) | 31.26% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.56% ( -0.6) | 50.43% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.63% ( -0.53) | 72.36% ( 0.52) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.64% ( -0.29) | 23.36% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.67% ( -0.41) | 57.33% ( 0.41) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.95% ( -0.36) | 30.05% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.82% ( -0.43) | 66.17% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.91% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.26% |
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