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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Huish Park Stadium
BL

Yeovil
1 - 3
Bournemouth

Quigley (48')
Gorman (2'), Worthington (8'), Moss (34')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Marcondes (19', 43', 70')
Pearson (65'), Rossi (90+1'), Brady (90+5')

We said: Yeovil Town 0-3 Bournemouth

Yeovil Town have been impressive so far in the FA Cup, putting on brilliant performances within the competition as the underdogs. They will head into this game in the same situation, but Scott Parker's Bournemouth should have too much quality, which will allow them to secure the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 47.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Yeovil TownDrawBournemouth
25.71%26.42%47.87%
Both teams to score 48.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33%55.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.18%76.83%
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93%37.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.14%73.86%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72%23.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79%57.22%
Score Analysis
    Yeovil Town 25.71%
    Bournemouth 47.86%
    Draw 26.42%
Yeovil TownDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-1 @ 6.19%
2-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.49%
3-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.71%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 12.57%
0-2 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 9.1%
0-3 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 4.42%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.62%
1-4 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.86%

Read more!
Read more!


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