Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
