Yeovil may have been the more impressive side in the opening round, but Stevenage have the experience of knowing what it takes to beat teams in lower divisions, having progressed from 11 of their 13 FA Cup ties against non-league sides (first round onwards), and we expect them to get the job done on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Yeovil Town in this match.
