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FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
MD

Stevenage
2 - 1
MK Dons

Reid (61'), Norris (120+1' pen.)
Taylor (51'), Smith (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Darling (37')
Darling (5'), Robson (11'), Boateng (34'), Harvie (75'), Kasumu (112'), Baldwin (117')
Martin (45+2'), Darling (119')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Replays clash between Stevenage and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (7.29%).

Result
StevenageDrawMK Dons
24.67%24.79%50.53%
Both teams to score 52.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.87%50.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9%72.1%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06%34.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.32%71.68%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15%19.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.06%51.94%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 24.67%
    MK Dons 50.53%
    Draw 24.79%
StevenageDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7.29%
2-1 @ 6.2%
2-0 @ 3.83%
3-1 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.76%
3-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 24.67%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 11.21%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-2 @ 9.07%
1-3 @ 5.14%
0-3 @ 4.89%
2-3 @ 2.7%
1-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.53%

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