Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
