Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 48.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
