The semi-final round seems to be a great psychological hurdle for Ah Ahly, and we believe their inconsistent attacking form over the past few weeks will prove costly on Saturday.
Pachuca took a while to get into their previous encounter, but this side showed they can be deadly on the counter and make their chances count, which is why we project they will punch their ticket into the final against Real Madrid.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pachuca win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Al Ahly has a probability of 29.38% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Al Ahly win is 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.23%).