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Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Nov 3, 2024 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
6 - 2
Necaxa

Rondon (12', 29', 61'), Idrissi (54'), Lopez (85'), Gonzalez (87')
Idrissi (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cambindo (58', 66')
Monreal (19'), Cambindo (26')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Pachuca
Sunday, October 27 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
Monday, October 28 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawNecaxa
49.65% (-0.501 -0.5) 24.55% (0.337 0.34) 25.81% (0.165 0.17)
Both teams to score 54.03% (-0.932 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (-1.303 -1.3)48.18% (1.307 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (-1.205 -1.21)70.34% (1.207 1.21)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.709 -0.71)19.44% (0.71 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (-1.173 -1.17)51.28% (1.174 1.17)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07% (-0.56099999999999 -0.56)32.94% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49% (-0.63 -0.63)69.52% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 49.64%
    Necaxa 25.81%
    Draw 24.54%
PachucaDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.64%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.339 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.272 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.092 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Pachuca
Sunday, October 27 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-1 Pachuca
Wednesday, October 23 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, October 20 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-1 Pachuca
Saturday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, September 29 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-3 Pachuca
Saturday, September 21 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Toluca
Monday, October 28 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Necaxa
Wednesday, October 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Tijuana
Saturday, October 19 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, October 6 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Necaxa
Saturday, September 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 America
Sunday, September 22 at 2am in Liga MX


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