Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
-0.24) 
0.34) 
