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Jan 29, 2024 at 6pm UK
Kingdom Arena
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Al-Hilal
4 - 3
Inter Miami

Mitrovic (10'), Alhamddan (13'), Michael (44'), Malcom (88')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Suarez (34'), Messi (54' pen.), Ruiz (55')
McVey (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Fayha 0-2 Al-Hilal
Friday, December 29 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Al-Hilal 3-1 Inter Miami

For all of their exceptional rearguard exploits in 2023, Al-Hilal's defensive ranks have been decimated by international call-ups, but Jesus can still call upon most of his star foreigners in the middle and final third of the field. A lack of match practice has harmed Inter Miami's rhythm - not that Martino's men showed much of it in the latter stages of 2023 anyway - and while Al-Hilal have also had a few weeks without any on-field commitments, the Saudi Pro League leaders are the firm favourites and ought to pick up where they left off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawInter Miami
66.31% (0.509 0.51) 18.1% (-0.147 -0.15) 15.59% (-0.364 -0.36)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-0.34 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.32% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)32.68% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.64% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)54.36% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.81% (0.105 0.11)9.19% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.88% (0.252 0.25)31.12% (-0.254 -0.25)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.455 -0.45)33.94% (0.45200000000001 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (-0.493 -0.49)70.62% (0.491 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 66.31%
    Inter Miami 15.59%
    Draw 18.1%
Al-HilalDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 7.64% (0.031 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.07% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 4.56% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.22% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.18% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.02% (0.051 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.92%
Total : 66.31%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.1%
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 15.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-2 Al-Hilal
Friday, December 29 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 7-0 Abha
Thursday, December 21 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Wahda
Friday, December 15 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Tai 1-2 Al-Hilal
Friday, December 8 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Nassaji Mazandaran
Monday, December 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-0 Al-Nassr
Friday, December 1 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-2 Charlotte FC
Thursday, October 19 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Sunday, October 1 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer


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